SHANTOU SISU – 3.00 CLONMEL

WIN BET ADVISED AT 100/30 AVAILABLE WITH BETFRED

The 2.30 is a wide open 15-runner Maiden Hurdle with very few coming in to the race in any kind of form so it isn’t very attractive as a tipping or betting medium especially when bookmakers are only paying the first 3 home with it not being a handicap. Elusive Star has been very well supported in from 7/1 to 3/1 Favourite so somebody thinks she is going to run well but she was beaten by 34 lengths last time out and at the price now represents very little value. At bigger prices, Iridescent may be worth a small interest but only if you can get the 28/1 still available with 888SPORT. He isn’t anything special but won’t need to be to go close in this weak looking affair and he hinted at an improvement in form last time out. That was coming off a 128 day break so he may be able to do something if building on that. Other than that this really is a race to avoid.

The 3 o’clock is very similar to the 2 o’clock in that there are 16-runners but few would appear to have realistic chances of winning. It is interesting that Mattie’s Mountain has been backed in from about 9/1 to 11/4 Favourite so obviously connections are keen on his chances of winning. He looks progressive and shouldn’t be far away but any value in his price is long gone. However, with him being backed it has put the price of my selection, Shantou Sisu, out a little to 100/30. He likes it here, has conditions to suit, looks well-handicapped off his current mark of 89, has been unlucky and running consistently well in defeat at the track, and looks sure to give us a good run for our money. Like Farmix in the first he is a solid rather than an outstanding selection. Some bookies are paying the first 5 places in this race so I thought at bigger prices Quarry Lil looked a little over-priced at 33/1 (Coral paying 5 places) and may be worth a small each way interest.

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