COOL TO BE A CAT – 2.25 KEMPTON

0.5 PTS EACH WAY ADVISED A BEST PRICED 7/1 AVAILABLE WITH THESE BOOKMAKERS…

The Ian Williams trained 3 year old gelding Cool To Be A Cat, who cost 50,000 Euros as a 2 year old, looks worth an each way interest at his current price in this weak looking Class 6. The selection was sent off 4/1 second Favourite in a better race on his handicap debut when last seen in February, which indicates that a good run was expected, but he didn’t stay the 1m2f trip so finished 11 lengths last of 9. That doesn’t tell the whole story however as he was travelling best between 6f to 7f and leading before capitulating and going backwards from around the 8f mark. I’ve no idea why they were trying him over 10f as his pedigree clearly indicates his best trip should be between 6f to 8f. So, still lightly-raced and unexposed over today’s shorter 7f, with it really suiting much better on pedigree, it would be no surprise to see an improved performance from him provided Ian Williams has him fit and ready to go after 4 months off. That isn’t guaranteed but his horses have been running well for the most part and the yard has been amongst the winners recently (Last 14 days: 3-24, 13%) which gives us hope. That 13% strike rate isn’t bad but doesn’t look great on the face of it. However, if you also take in to account 3 of his horses were beaten by less than a short head you can see how that could easily read 25%.

I’ve also considered that this is a much easier race than last time. That was also a Class 6 (0-60) race but the average Racing Post Rating of the 9 horses taking part was 57.5 whereas the average of the 12 today is only 54.7. For those of you interested in learning and improving your tip selection process this is an easy mathematical calculation which gives you a quick indication of the overall quality of any race.

Cool To Be A Cat has been dropped 2lb for that last run, receives between 10lb to 12lb from his 3 rivals at the head of the market, and Cieren Fallon is an eye-catching first-time booking who is well worth his 3lb claim.

You would think after such a detailed write-up I’m very confident but that isn’t the case as his chance depends on him not needing the run after a 125 day break. If fit, he is clearly very well-handicapped. Good luck!

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