HAZEL BEAR – 8.30pm WOLVERHAMPTON
0.5 POINTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT A WIDELY AVAILABLE 25/1 FOR 3 PLACES
Hi guys, with me always trying to spot and give you the outsider in the field who looks over-priced and there are reasons for it to run well I’m trying a 25/1 shot in this 8.30 race at Wolverhampton tomorrow night.
The horse is Hazel Bear who is a 10-race maiden but she has a 2nd and two 3rd’s in her form. She went close three starts back tried in a first-time hood (retained) over 1m2f only going down by a length in 3rd at Lingfield last November off a mark of 57 and she has been dropped 3lb since for two runs over an unsuitably long 1m4f (didn’t stay).
She has dropped 15lb in the past 11 months and back at a more suitable 1m1.5f she could go well with first-time booking and in form Aidan Keeley (Last 14 days: 4-15, 27%) taking a further useful 3lb off and also having his first ride for the Jamie Osborne yard (as far as I can see).
The selection has shown ability having ran to Racing Post Ratings between 61-65 five-times in her 10 career starts to date so running off just 54 here with Aidan onboard she might do something. She is also down in Grade (0-55 as opposed to 0-60 the past twice) I’m not saying she is going to win but she does look over-priced at 25/1.
She hasn’t ran at Wolverhampton but appeared to handle the Tapeta surface well enough in two runs at Southwell finishing a length 2nd of 13 in one of them running to an RPR of 65.
Each way at a widely available 25/1 for 3 places as I post this.
Good luck!
Jibber Jabber
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