GOSNAY GOLD (NAP) – 4.30pm CHELMSFORD

1 PT EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 11/1 WITH SKYBET & BOYLESPORTS WHO ARE PAYING 4 PLACES

The 2 year old colt GOSNAY GOLD was picked up for 60,000 GNS back in July and has looked better than a 64 rated handicapper which is the mark he is running off today having been dropped 5lb for his last two runs.

He didn’t stay the trip last time over 8.5f at Wolverhampton where he used up energy to get across from a wide draw in stall 11 to lead doing far too much too soon before fading badly in the last 2 furlongs and finishing last of 10. That was in a Class 4 race for which he has been dropped 2lb and is down in to a Class 5 here. Prior to that he ran a good race over this trip in this Class at Lingfield where he finished 5 lengths 6th of 14 off a 5lb higher mark to some better animals than he faces today.

His best run to date came here over 6f back in August where he only went down by 1.5 lengths off level weights to Royal Musketeer and Dewey Road now rate 74 & 78 respectively. On that occasion, he got a little out-paced late on so could be better suited by today’s 7f which really suits on breeding which would suggest his ideal trip is likely to eventually lie between 1m-1m2f. He also beat the re-opposing current Favourite, Eloquent Arthur (7/2), by 9.25 lengths that day and meets him on 6lb better terms here. Eloquent Arthur was admittedly making his debut and has improved since but it was only Gosnay Gold’s second start so I don’t see why there should be such a disparity in their prices or why the Favourite should reverse the placings returned here worse off at the weights.

To conclude, this looks his easiest task to date and a good opportunity to get off the mark running against lower quality horses than he has been competing against and well-drawn to attack in stall 2 he is likely to give it a good go from the front. He may well last home with him appearing to stay 7f ok at Lingfield two starts back and it’s hard to see him finishing outside the first 4.

BET365 are offering 12/1 for 3 places as I write this but, erring on the side of caution as this has proved a profitable policy in the past and will make you long-term gains, I’m advising you place your bet with either SKYBET or Boylesports who are both offering the lower odds of 11/1 but are paying the first 4 home. Good luck!

Jibber Jabber

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