EL CONQUISTADOR (NAP) – 2.10pm LINGFIELD
1 PT EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 13/2 WITH SKYBET OR 6/1 GENERALLY
This looks a tight handicap on paper with only 3lb separating the 12 runners but the lightly-raced 3 year old gelding El Conquistador, who cost 150,000gns as a 2 year old back in April 2019, may have been let in off a lenient mark of 65 by the handicapper making his handicap debut today.
He was entitled to have needed his seasonal debut at Chelmsford over this trip 33 days ago where he finished a good plugging on 3rd of 10 coming back from a 237 day break after having had a gelding operation back in April. The 1st and 2nd placed horses haven’t ran since but the 5th placed horse (Khaalis) who he beat by a length off level weights romped home by 4 lengths over the same C&D two weeks later and is now officially rated 80. Plus, the 14-runner Dundalk race he ran in back in January has thrown up 7 winners with the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 8th, 9th, and 10th placed horses all winning since and they are now rated (67, 69, 69, 74, 85, 91, 100). The selection finished a good 6 lengths 7th in that, from an impossible draw in stall 16, finding himself having to go wide round the home bend before running on. He was giving a couple of pounds to several of those who won and are rated higher since so you can clearly see how he could be well-in here running off a mark of just 65.
This is his first visit to the Lingfield All-Weather track but all of his three runs to date have been on Polytrack so he shouldn’t have any problems handling the surface. He should strip fitter for last months run, his draw in stall 6 is fine, and Josephine Gordon is a good booking. This is a very weak looking Class 6 handicap which I reckon, having examined the form of all his rivals, if he runs to a Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 70 plus he will be bang there at the finish. He should be capable of that with normal improvement so, all things considered, he looks a decent each way bet at 13/2.Good luck!
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