1.30pm Cheltenham2m5f (Old) Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Baring Bingham) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

WHATDEAWANT

0.5 PTS EACH WAY ADVISED AT A GENERALLY AVAILABLE 20/1 WITH ALL FIRMS ONLY PAYING 3 PLACES

Hi guys, this isn’t a great each way betting medium guys with an 8/11 Favourite in Sir Gerhard, second Favourite Journey With Me (6/1) fancied to go well, and all the bookies only paying the first three home so sensibly the advice is to keep your stakes small and wait for better betting opportunities later in the day.

I thought whichever race Grade 1 winner Sir Gerhard eventually ran in he would likely win and that could easily be the case here with the only chink in his armour a couple of jumping errors at Leopardstown last time but has reportedly “schooled well since”.

The unbeaten Henry De Bromhead 6 year old Journey With Me might be the one to take advantage and could be the shrewd each way bet with Rachel Blackmore in the saddle and with the yard and her winning the race last year with Bob Olinger. However, the one that looks over-priced to me is Whatdeawant at 20/1 so the Willie Mullins trained 6 year old is my small stakes speculative selection. He was among the Favourites for this and considered a “good prospect” before under-performing when sent off at just 2/1 at Naas back in January and he could yet get back on track having been rested since with the step up to 2m5f for the first-time a plus.

2.10pm Cheltenham3m½f (3m80y) (Old) Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Broadway Novices’ Chase) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)

FAROUK D’ALENE

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 12/1 WITH SEVERAL FIRMS PAYING 4 PLACES

At the head of the market I think both Bravemansgame (3/1) and L’Homme Presse (4/1) both have very good winning chances but I’m always looking for the each way bet/value in the race and that might be provided by Gordon Elliotts Grade 2 winner Farouk D’Alene (12/1) with Davy Russell (a great man to have in the saddle around Cheltenham) an excellent first-time booking. He would prefer soft ground so any rain would help his cause but he was only 1.25 lengths behind Stattler, yesterday’s runaway National Hunt Chase winner, on Good/Yielding at Naas 2 starts back. He will be fit on his fifth start of the season and there could be further improvement to come from the 7 year old.

2.50pm Cheltenham2m5f (Old) Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

GRAND ROI

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 20/1 WITH THE FOLLOWING FIRMS PAYING 7 OR 8 PLACES

DROP THE ANCHOR

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 20/1 WITH THE FOLLOWING FIRMS PAYING 7 OR 8 PLACES

The 6 year old Grand Roi was sent off 6/1 Favourite for this last year but didn’t enjoy the kindest of runs before finishing 12th. He has been running competitively in Graded company since and is better than he was able to show last year so 2lb lower here, under Davy Russell, with the application of first-time cheek-pieces possibly sparking some improvement, he looks over-priced and well-worth an each way interest at 20/1 especially with several firms paying 7 places and Skybet paying an amazing 8 places on the race.

I’ve liked Drop The Anchor for this for a while but don’t particularly think he represents much value at 15/2 in a 25-runner race. However, he had to be tipped as I think the 8 year old has what it takes to win a Coral Cup. He looks on a good mark having only been beaten 3.5 lengths in last years County Hurdle off a 3lb higher mark over 2m1f and the step up to 2m5f today is expected to unlock further improvement.

3.30pm Cheltenham2m (1m7f199y) (Old) Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)

ENVOI ALLEN

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT ODDS OF 18/1 WITH ALL FIRMS ONLY PAYING 3 PLACES

Again, with this likely to be fought out between the two at the head of the market (Shiskin & Energumene) and all bookmakers only paying the first three home this is a very poor betting medium for each way punters and not one I would normally recommend betting in. However, this is the Cheltenham Festival and we want a bet so I’ve tried to unearth what might go well at an each way price. I have landed on Envoi Allen (18/1) who won the Grade 1 Ballymore back in 2020 and the Champion Bumper the year before. He has reportedly been working well at home, may have been helped by a recent wind op, and he is still unexposed at 2-miles over the larger obstacles.

4.10pm Cheltenham3m6f (3m6f37y) (X-Country) Glenfarclas Chase (A Cross Country Chase) (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+)

DIESEL D’ALLIER

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 14/1 WITH SKYBET & BETFRED PAYING 5 PLACES

This is the 16-runner Cross Country Chase but at least is a slightly better betting opportunity for each way punters with the likes of Skybet & Betfred offering 5 places on the race.

Of course, it is supposed to be the swansong for legend Tiger Roll who would be a very popular winner and has reportedly been flying at home. However, at 2/1 he doesn’t represent any value and certainly isn’t what we want as each way punters.

So, at the each way price of 14/1 I have opted for course specialist Diesel D’Allier who won over C&D when last seen back in December and whose yard enjoy a 38% strike rate when sending horses to Cheltenham.

4.50pm Cheltenham2m (1m7f199y) (Old) Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)

ANDY DUFRESNE (NAP)

1 PT EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 6/1 WITH THE FOLLOWING FIRMS PAYING 6 PLACES

My NAP today is Andy Dufresne in the this the Grand Annual. I know he has been saved for this by the Gordon Elliott yard and I can see him taking all the beating. A lightly-raced 8 year old with a record of 113112 at around the 2m trip I’m confident he has more to offer today with his last time out 2ndto top prospect Captain Guinness (who is rated 10lb higher now) looking like very decent form.

5.30pm Cheltenham2m½f (2m87y) (Old) Weatherbys Champion Bumper (A Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4-6yo)

HOULANBATORDECHAIS

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 12/1 WITH MANY FIRMS PAYING 4 PLACES

ROSY REDRUM

0.5 PTS EACH WAY BET ADVISED AT 33/1 WITH BET365 PAYING 4 PLACES

Again, the two at the head of the market (Facile Vega & American Mike) have been well-touted for this but at 15/8 & 9/4 respectively offer little value in a 21-runner race full of young horses who have only been raced a couple of times and are open to as much as 20lb improvement from their last start. Btw, of the two I prefer American Mike if you’re a short priced backer.

So, I have tried to uncover what might go well at a price and have landed on the Willie Mullins trained Houlanbatordechais (12/1) who is unbeaten and has Rachel Blackmore booked for the first-time. My second poke at this is Rosy Redrum (33/1 with BET365) with the Milton Harris yard having a great season and remaining in excellent form recently (Last 14 days: 5-18, 28%). As a 4 year old she goes against the trends as she is young to be winning this so I’m not expecting too much but she is a big scopey type who, tried in a first-time headgear combination, might just be good enough to run in to the places with most firms paying the first 4 home.

Just a reminder that while I suggest bookies to bet with because they have the best price available or are offering to pay extra places in a race these are purely profit optimising common sense choices for your benefit and I receive absolutely nothing from them. I am not affiliated with any bookmakers! Good luck today!

Jibber Jabber

P.S. You can see my Cheltenham Festival results for all 84 races in 2019, 2020, & 2021 here

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